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She waved
her hand in a sort of 'give-me-a-break' manner. Her nose wrinkled in a way that suggested
there was a bad smell which had just wafted across our table.
"If I
say harsh things about economists, all that may happen is the feelings of a few
professionals might get hurt. When economists say something, thousands of people may lose
jobs, money, homes, health, and, sometimes, even life itself.
"Economists
do not even have the decency to come to our doors and say they understand how such
pronouncements are negatively affecting our lives in fundamental ways despite the fact we
economists don't necessarily know what we are talking about. Like the pilots who drop
bombs on people whom the former never have to see, care for, or bury, economists release
their destruction from afar in the pristine, technologically advanced surroundings of
boardrooms, government offices and academia.
"Many
economists claim free markets provide an efficient feedback mechanism for assessing the
value of one's decisions involving either supply or demand. Supposedly, this cybernetic
dimension of the market offers an opportunity to correct whatever aspects of our decisions
may have been mistaken.
"Yet,
the whole idea of free markets is warped by a wealth of underlying philosophical,
psychological, religious, sociological and political assumptions about the nature,
purpose, meaning, and significance of human existence, in particular, and universal
existence, in general. Unfortunately, many economists are reluctant to examine, in any
detailed or rigorous fashion, the nature of these assumptions or how they adversely affect
our lives in so many different ways.
"Many
economists don't seem to understand that one is not even in a position to talk about
efficiency or the value of one's decisions until one has a reliable ontological baseline
against which to measure one's efforts. And, since economics cannot provide such a
baseline in any non-arbitrary and unbiased fashion, one is really beginning at no reliable
beginning and working toward no reliable end when one resorts to economics as one's
tool-kit for evaluating the efficiency or value of various dimensions of human interaction
and decision-making.
"Economists
want to say: given such and such an assumption, then certain things follow. There may be
validity to this way of thinking, but there need not be any truth involved, either before,
or after, the stating of such assumptions.
"Globalizing
free trade will accomplish certain things, none of them very desirable. For one thing, the
maquiladora model will become a major growth industry, with the same pattern being
exported to all corners of the world - low, or no, corporate taxes; lower and lower wages
for the vast majority of people; few, or no, benefits provided to most workers; an
increasing disregard for the health and safety of personnel; a continued tendency to
deregulate, water-down, and not enforce environmental standards; a clamp-down on, as well
as an undermining and marginalization of union activity; and, finally, the firing,
elimination or oppression of anyone who resists submitting to the maquiladora paradigm.
"A
second ramification of the globalization of free trade, especially in the context of
growth economics, is the depletion of the world's resources - sooner rather than later.
Even if the world's population were to achieve zero growth right this very moment, an
increasing number of organizations, think tanks, academics, scientists, and researchers
have indicated that everything from wood, to drinkable water, to metals, to minerals, to
oil, to coal to natural gas and other kinds of non-renewable resources will begin to
become endangered species toward the middle of the twenty-second century.
"Unfortunately,
the world's population has not stabilized and continues to increase. If one projects a
continuously growing economy onto the entire world, and if one projects a continuous
growth in consumption of resources - on both the demand and supply side - in order to fuel
a world-wide growing economy due to the globalization of free trade practices, then the
resources of the Earth will become endangered, if not extinct, long before the middle of
the next century.
"A
third ramification of globalizing free trade in the context of growth economics is likely
to be the complete ecological collapse of all the eco-systems of Earth. We already are
losing the pollution battles in the air, on the seas, and across the lands with our
current population and economic growth.
"When
one adds the increased pollution of the projected 2 - 5 billion new producers/consumers
who will be born in the next sixty years or so, to the activities of the present 5 billion
human pollution factories already in existence, the biosphere likely will be pushed into
cardiac arrest. Anyone who doubts this or wishes to argue against such a scenario doesn't
have, or doesn't use, the intelligence that God gave a gnat."
"For instance, consider the following. From 1950 to the present time, the number of
automobiles in the world has grown from approximately 50 million to about a half a
billion. Although, to a large extent, the market for automobiles may have been saturated
in North America, Japan and western Europe, there are billions of potential customers in
Asia, China, Latin America, Africa and many parts of the former Soviet Union.
"Manufactures
have come up with the so-called 'Asia car' that is a stripped down version of models sold
in more affluent parts of the world. Plants are being set up in Thailand, Indonesia,
Brazil and other third world countries in order to meet, and stoke, the growing demand for
automobiles in the non-saturated markets of the world.
"For
the last seventy years, or so, automobiles have been the single most desirable consumer
item in the developed world. This trend is now being exported to the billions of people
living in the undeveloped world.
"In
India, the production of cars will double by the year 2000. By the year 2020, China is
projected to become the third largest car market in the world with demand estimated to be
between 5.5 and 6.5 million cars per year. In Brazil, the four largest car makers - GM,
Ford, Fiat and Volkswagen - have redoubled their investments in this market, and many
other manufactures are trying to get a toe hold in what is projected to be an extremely
lucrative and thriving market.
"The
Environmental and Forecasting Institute in Heidelberg Germany has conducted an
investigation into the projected impact on the environment which the production and
operation of a medium-size car - equipped with a catalytic converter and using unleaded
fuels - will have over a ten year period. They estimate that during such a time frame,
this car will be involved in the generation of 2.04 million cubic meters of air pollution
and some 59.7 tons of carbon dioxide. In addition, on average, each of these cars, through
one means or another, will leave behind about 26.5 tons of waste materials that will have
to be disposed of in some manner.
"Moreover,
while the precise figures vary from country to country, for every one thousand cars that
are built, there will be an associated fringe benefit of, at a minimum, slightly over 2
deaths, 125 critical injuries, and about 10 forms of disability, of varying severity. All
of this will place a further burden on a variety of medical, health-care, legal, economic
and social institutions.
"None
of this - either the pollution data or the casualty statistics - takes into account how
these figures will spiral upwards as a result of poor car maintenance. Furthermore, as far
as I can determine, the study doesn't take into consideration such things as the
following. Every year, during so-called normal operating procedures involving the loading
and unloading of oil, tankers pour four times as much, or more, of this chemical into the
ocean as the 37 million liters of crude oil that have been dumped into Alaska's Prince
William Sound by the Exxon Valdez.
"In any
case, if one multiplies the foregoing data and statistics by another, projected, several
billion consumers, then one begins to understand that just from this one single product,
we are being confronted by pollution problems of incredible proportions. Especially
relevant is the fact that carbon dioxide, which is being pumped into the atmosphere by
each of these cars, is one of the primary greenhouse gases.
"On the
one hand, an impressive body of growing, scientific evidence is showing how these
greenhouse gases are helping to push up the average global temperature. One of the
implications of this is that if present trends continue, or are elevated, then within some
fifty to seventy years, or less - both through the thermally caused expansion of ocean
waters, as well as due to the melting of glacial, arctic and, possibly even, antarctic ice
- many of the coastal areas of the world, where some 60-70 percent, or more, of humanity
presently resides, could be inundated by varying amounts of water.
"Whether
one talks about building some sort of levy system to protect these areas, or one talks
about moving people, businesses and so on from these areas, one is talking about a huge
set of financial and social problems. Irrespective of whatever may be decided upon as a
course of action, we have very little time to decide, plan and implement such a strategy.
"Greenhouse
gases also are implicated, rather significantly, in the increasing severity and chaotic
character of many large-scale weather patterns that appear to be taking place. This
presents its own variety of economic, social, legal and political problems.
"Increases
in the rate and severity of coastal flooding, insect infestation, droughts, heat-related
deaths, species extinction, the spreading of tropical diseases, melting permafrost, forest
fires, crop failure, storm damage to property, and last, but not least, skyrocketing
insurance costs across the board, are being bequeathed to us as greenhouse gases wing
their way into the atmosphere. The mentality that is behind the drive toward globalization
and its concomitant feeding-frenzy of growth economics is full of false-economies that are
leading to ecological, social, political, legal, spiritual and human costs for which no
one bargained and for which few, if any of us, are prepared to deal.
"Currently,
each and every year, 13,000 square kilometers of Amazon rain forests are being cleared.
This represents a 34 percent increase since 1990 when there began to be a growing public
awareness, however dim, of the importance of the rain forests as a mainstay of many kinds
of ecological dynamic.
"If the
destruction of the tropical forests continues at current rates, most of these forests will
have been destroyed by the year 2040. If this rate of deforestation accelerates, the rain
forests will be gone even more quickly.
"One
can trace the movement of 'civilization' around the planet by following the path of
deforestation that has taken place wherever civilization has taken root. The rain forests
and the Pacific Northwest are the only remaining, extensive areas of old growth trees on
the face of the Earth, and both of these areas are under heavy assault.
"Ironically,
in the rain forests, the preferred method of deforestation is to burn the trees. This
produces carbon dioxide which adds to the greenhouse problem, and, although on the one
hand, the clearing of forests is a metaphor for humanity's desire for economic growth,
nonetheless, at the same time, it is a metaphor for the signing of humanity's death
warrant - such is the nature of progress.
"Unfortunately,
little of the world's growing concern about the rain forests has much to do with what is
happening to the Yanomami or Guarani native peoples who live in these forests. Moreover,
few, if any, of our anxieties are directed toward the urban and rural poverty surrounding
these forests.
"Instead,
our concern is about the way in which the quality of our lives may be threatened by what
is going on in, and being done to, the rain forests. Now that many of us have secured our
own brand of economic security and have exploited, polluted and destroyed many of the
world's eco-systems in the process, we are concerned for ourselves that others are
interested in doing what we, much to our discredit, already have done, and that worst of
all, we may have to suffer as a series of ecological and social tsunami, resulting from
economic growth elsewhere in the world, spreads its destructive consequences across the
shores of our existence.
"Whales
are washing up on our beaches so saturated with toxic chemicals such, as DDT and various
kinds of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, that their bodies constitute hazardous waste
material. There are dead zones in the oceans, off our coasts, some as large as 8 thousand
square kilometers, that are testimonials to our dumping activities with respect to a
variety of contaminants, and the process of eutrophication, or removal of oxygen from
water, that frequently ensues from the presence of these contaminants.
"Each
year, more than 4.5 billion kilograms of industrial chemicals are being dumped into the
waters of America, including more than 1000 varieties of chemical compounds - at least 250
of which are considered to be toxic - found in the Great Lakes that constitutes one-fifth
of all the fresh water on Earth, and from which more than forty million people drink each
and every day. Even modern sewage treatment facilities are not capable of eliminating or
neutralizing many of these chemicals, and in many places existing sewage treatment plants
either are inadequate, breaking down, or both. Furthermore, after a storm, as much as ten
percent of all sewage passes right through these facilities without any kind of treatment
whatsoever.
"Well,
Mary, given that you have been so generous in sharing all of these wonderful, upbeat
statistics and ideas with me," I said, "what is the solution. Since you seem to
have ruled out capitalism, socialism and communism, what are we left with?
"We are
left with subsistence economics, David, and two choices. We can either intelligently work
our way into this kind of framework as quickly as possible, or we will be forced into it
by an escalating cascade of ecological, economic, social and political cataclysms. As far
as I can see, there is no third alternative."
"What
about some form of steady-state or sustainable economics?" I inquired.
Shrugging
her shoulders, Mary replied: "In my opinion, there is no such thing as sustainable
economics. These sorts of theory generate the same spectrum of problems involving
consumption, resource depletion and pollution that growth economics does. It just
accomplishes this only slightly more slowly than does economic growth of between, say, 1
and 3 or 4 % per year."
"When
one factors in a doubling of the world's population, along with increases in the length of
life and possible declines in rates of infant morality that are likely to be associated,
up to a point, with even a limited distribution of the enhanced standards of living which
so-called sustainable economics might be able to bring about in the short run, then one
still will encounter substantial increases in the levels of resource depletion and
concomitant pollution. Under the present circumstances, all sustainable economics offers
is a choice in the kind of poison one wants to take in order to commit suicide- it offers
a slow-acting one rather than a fast-acting one."
"Wouldn't
switching to things like natural gas, nuclear power, or, fusion energy, if and when a
viable means of commercial production is discovered, alter the picture you are painting in
a rather dramatic manner?" I asked.
"Not
necessarily," Mary responded. "The construction of facilities and support
systems for any of these forms of energy production are, themselves, energy intensive and
would generate a lot of pollution, as well, as a by-product of that construction process.
"The
transportation of natural gas is also energy intensive. Furthermore, there are on-going,
unresolved problems surrounding the disposal of radioactive wastes, not to mention a
constant worry about containment problems should there be more incidents like Chernobyl or
Three Mile Island - and you can be sure there will be, especially if we began to build
more of these facilities under the rushed conditions of political, social, ecological and
economic crisis.
"In
addition, even if a viable commercial means of harnessing fusion energy came some time in
the next five or ten years, and fusion scientists are pessimistic about this at the
present time, it takes anywhere from 10 to 20 years for a new technology to be integrated
into the economic, legal, political, and educational fabric of society. Fifteen to thirty
years is too long a period to have to wait to resolve the problems with which we are
currently being confronted.
"Besides,
neither natural gas, nuclear reactors nor fusion energy is going to have much impact on
all of the other kinds of energy consumption, resource depletion and toxic pollution that
is taking place at current and projected rates. North America could become a perfect,
ecologically aware society by the first thing tomorrow morning, but what would this mean,
or accomplish, in the context of a world where we presently constitute only one-fifteenth
of the world's population, and, by the middle of the next century, we will represent just
one-thirtieth of that population?
"As I
previously indicated, the toxic cycle carries pollutants by air, ocean, land and
biological life to every corner of the Earth. How do you propose we escape the depletion
of resources and pollution of our small world that is coming our way from the rest of
humanity, irrespective of what we do in our own backyard?
"All of
this is academic, however. We will not become perfect, ecologically aware, and dutiful
citizens of the planet Earth by tomorrow morning."
"In
fact, precisely the opposite is true. Despite forming only one-fifteenth of the world's
population, we are contributing in a highly disproportionate way to the rates at which the
resources of this planet are being depleted and the eco-systems of Earth are being
undermined, compromised, and destroyed through the pollutants that we are pumping into the
environment in ever-increasing amounts, varieties and toxicities.
"No,
David, we really have done it to ourselves this time. The wheels of Divine justice may
grind slowly sometimes, but irrespective of the rate at which they move, they grind
exceedingly fine, as, I believe, we are about to find out in the blink of an eye on the
cosmic scale of things."
"Isn't
it possible," I replied, "that various kinds of technological or scientific
breakthrough could save the day?"
Mary's head
shook in a negative fashion. "I have no doubt, David, that new, exiting developments
will continue to take place in these areas. You are forgetting, however, about Streeter's
Law - namely, for every advance in science and technology that is applied to the human
condition, at least 4.78 additional social, political and/or environmental problems will
be created in the process.
"As a
result, we cannot keep pace with the problematic series of bifurcations being generated by
our technological and scientific cleverness. We are creating difficulties at a rate which
is faster than our capacity to resolve them.
"Furthermore,
in our frenzied rush to solve these problems, we are making decisions about our future
while operating under conditions of constant stress and conflict, as well as while working
with a woeful lack of information, understanding and wisdom concerning the significance
and ramifications of our decisions. The result of all of this is that an array of new,
more complex problems are inherent in the solutions being forced on us with increasing
rapidity in such an atmosphere of crisis."
Mary looked
at her wrist watch. "Time to go," she said. "Us working people don't have
the luxury of several months off during the summer like you academic types."
As
originally requested by Mary, when I phoned her from Chicago, her price for meeting with
me was that I pay for the lunch. However, after listening to her, and as I handed over
money to the cashier, I felt like a condemned man who has had to spring for his own last
meal - no doubt, part of the fine mesh gauge of the wheels grinding my way ... and toward
the rest of humanity ... with relentless determination.
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| Next - Manifest Destiny |
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